Workforce Deep Dive

Beyond the headlines — who's actually leaving the federal government, what experience is walking out the door, and which agencies face the biggest risks. All from official OPM data.

🔴 Retirement Cliff

18.9% of the federal workforce is eligible to retire right now.

Retirement Eligible

392.1K

18.9% of workforce

Total Workforce

2.07M

December 2025

Highest Risk Agency

Government Publishing Off

40.7% eligible

Highest Risk Job

Administrative Law Judge

52.5% eligible

Agencies with Highest Retirement %

Jobs with Highest Retirement %

Administrative Law Judge
652/1.2K52.5%
Technical Systems Program Manager
334/72646%
Aviation Safety
1.7K/4.2K41%
Claims Assistance and Examining
394/1K39.1%
Mail and File
599/1.6K36.6%
Financial Management
401/1.1K35.5%
Tax Specialist
195/56034.8%
Procurement Clerical and Technician
198/57634.4%
Program Management
5.8K/17K34.4%
Environmental Engineering
945/2.8K34.2%

👋 Who's Leaving in 2025?

335.2K separations in 2025 vs 225.1K in 2024. Here's how the profile changed.

By Age

2024 2025
60-64
31.2K
45.7K
+46%
55-59
23.4K
42.6K
+82%
65 OR MORE
29.1K
41.2K
+41%
35-39
21.6K
33.7K
+56%
40-44
20.7K
32.6K
+57%
30-34
22.2K
32.4K
+46%
50-54
17.9K
31.7K
+77%
25-29
21.7K
29.2K
+35%
45-49
16.4K
27.6K
+68%
20-24
17.9K
17.5K
-2%
LESS THAN 20
3.1K
1K
-67%

By Length of Service

2024 2025
1-4 years
51.5K
92.7K
+80%
10-19 years
36K
56.1K
+56%
20-29 years
24.3K
47.6K
+96%
30+ years
30.4K
44.3K
+46%
5-9 years
29.2K
46.1K
+58%
<1 year
53.8K
48.5K
-10%

Top Occupations Losing People (2025)

🧠 Experience Exodus

Are the most experienced employees walking out the door?

Avg Tenure (2025 Leavers)

13.1 yrs

Length of service

Avg Tenure (2024 Leavers)

13.6 yrs

Length of service

20+ Year Vets Leaving (2025)

27.4%

91.8K people

20+ Year Vets Leaving (2024)

24.3%

54.6K people

Agencies Losing Most Experienced Staff (2025, by avg tenure of leavers)

🔬 STEM Brain Drain

Is the government losing its scientists, engineers, and tech workers?

STEM Employees

552.3K

26.6% of workforce

Non-STEM

1.52M

STEM Avg Salary

$0

Non-STEM Avg Salary

$0

Agencies with Most STEM Workers

👔 The Manager Question

DOGE says there's too much bureaucracy. Here are the actual numbers.

Manager:Staff Ratio

1:5

Overall

Managers & Supervisors

348.5K

16.8% of workforce

Individual Contributors

1.73M

Manager Ratio by Agency

🌍 Federal Employees Abroad

983.8K civilian federal employees work outside the United States.

Overseas

983.8K

47.4%

Countries

20

Overseas Avg Salary

$135,523

Domestic Avg Salary

$116,706

📊 Pay Grade Distribution

GS levels, SES, and other pay scales across the federal government.

GradeEmployeesAvg Salary% of Total
Other/Ungraded36.9K$150,7711.8%
GS-116.6K$89,7170.8%
GS-11$252,0010.0%
GS-288.2K$103,4314.3%
GS-243$214,3380.0%
GS-218$221,1420.0%
GS-24$221,9730.0%
GS-3111.3K$140,0985.4%
GS-375$197,2040.0%
GS-346$163,6860.0%
GS-484.2K$85,5374.1%
GS-427$136,1720.0%
GS-414$117,0790.0%
GS-45$89,6170.0%
GS-585.5K$59,4054.1%
GS-51$102,6600.0%
GS-6103.1K$61,8815.0%
GS-7104.6K$63,8045.0%

Related Analysis

About this analysis

All data from OPM FedScope. Employment: December 2025. Separations: FY2020-2025. Retirement eligibility estimated from age + service brackets (FERS: 62+/5yr, 60+/20yr, MRA+30yr). Manager ratios use OPM supervisory status. STEM follows OPM coding.

Full methodology →